I think someone in Virginia is going to see a good snow from this, but the snow will have a very hard time overcoming a powerful High that is to our north.
This blocking High does 2 things:
1. Keeps marginally cold air in place
2. Acts as a road block to northward movement of a precipitation.
That being said, there is always a LOT of moisture from a southern storm and that will need to be watched!
Current thoughts keep accumulating snow just to the south of the Maryland line (except lower southern Maryland) and south of the DC metro areas. There easily could be a more northward trend, but this will need to be monitored and models will likely not be that great. If I were to bet largest amounts I would say North of the VA/NC border up to just North of Richmond and west of areas just to the east of I-95 will see the most significant precip. Gut says 3-6" with isolated 6"+ amounts especially towards the Southwestern part of the state. Ice and sleet will fall on and off throughout the event when precipitation is lighter.
A map really should be drawn and I hope to get one out later tonight.
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