Thursday, December 13, 2007

WINTER STORM WILL BE A MIX AND MESS! SNOW LESS> ICE& RAIN MORE

Based on all data now coming in from models and analysis this  system will have a lot of mixing with sleet and freezing rain as well as rain. Areas at most risk for  significant storm situations would be North and west of a Roanoke to Charlottesville to Dulles to Western Baltimore line. Areas along the immediate piedmont parallel to this line up to I-95 will see some icing and some snow, but there will be a lot of mixing.

The net outcome will be sloppy accumulation that should reach storm warning criteria in the mountains and immediate piedmont with potential warning, but more likely advisory criteria along I95 and to the west.

Changes will likely occur, and they may continue to point to more rain. I will keep you posted.

 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3




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Wednesday, December 12, 2007

MAJOR WINTER STORM STILL LIKELY! DETAILS FUZZY

Latest models do show some warmer scenarios possible, but there are also some interesting features that make me wonder if they are correct. There will be fluctuations on tracks for a while, but we are nearing a new Model Reliability stage around noon so better analysis is possible then. Still see a major snowstorm for areas in the mountains and the immediate piedmont looks to be in on this one. The I-95 debate will go on whether it will be rain or snow and how far to the west it may end up. Sleet also will be a factor. But what is new for the Mid Atlantic area?


All for now!

 
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3




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