Friday, December 24, 2010

Snow threat still minimal

There was bad data in the models this morning that tainted the output. I will keep watching. Not expecting much of anything north of Roanoke to Richmond to Wallops Island. Light snow below this. Eastern VA, Eastern NC, Interior SC and even GA could see the dusting to 2 inches in spots.

All for now!


NOON models shifting back to heavy snow Eastern areas!

Stay tuned! Updates later this afternoon!

OF Course noon models show possible significant snow again for parts of region!

Stay tuned! Updates later this afternoon!


Snow alert! Southern Half of VA, Most of NC, Interior SC, GA!

The storm system that was originally looking like a huge hit for the region will still output some snow for parts of the area. The southern 2/3rds of VA will likely see a period of snow with some accumulations possible. As of now I am thinking 1 to 2 inches with areas seeing 3 inches. SW VA in higher elevations may see 2 to 4". The far eastern part of NC and VA may also see some enhanced snow due to some energizing of the system as it hits the ocean.

Light Snow seems possible for SC and GA as well with some 1 to 2" totals!

Still a lot to watch as a lot of energy is trying to get itself together over the region. The outcome could be snow showers for the Northern Third of VA and MD.

NC may really see some 2 to 4" snows based on the energy. This is especially true for eastern NC.

All for now!

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Thursday, December 23, 2010

FALSE ALARM - Small snow event at this point!

I noticed email that was delayed on delivery. The Historic snow is on hold for now! We will see if something materializes.

Sorry!


Again - Snow threat decreases - One more model later today - Update around 3pm

I should learn in a La Nina weather pattern year to be very cautious with storm phasing. The truth is, the phasing is very hard to accomplish. It also means a high amount of uncertainty up to the event.

Jimmy

MAJOR snow threat reduced!

Models backed off on Major snow last night. Before changing the areas
for heavier snow I will await noon model updates.

--
Sent from my mobile device

Wednesday, December 22, 2010

SNOW STORM POTENTIAL IS HIGH

A continued look at the models shows the potential for a SERIOUS snow storm that would blanket the interior GA, Interior SC, Most of NC, VA, MD, Eastern PA, NJ, and Eastern New England! This is a HUGE system with the possibility of historic output of snow. Exact track is difficult to pin down, but it is time to prepare alternate travel plans and get some extra Turkey and Stuffing ready!

At this point I would bet on a significant snow storm that could turn into a Blizzard for Eastern VA, Eastern MD, and Eastern NC. That is right! A Blizzard for the Mid Atlantic!

The impacts for the southern areas will begin Saturday, and snow will reach the Mid Atlantic Late Saturday or overnight Saturday into Sunday.

Much more will be figured out in the next 24 Hours as the storm system that will cause the snow storm has not even come on shore on the west coast. That will make a huge difference.

What that does mean is - we STILL may see shifts in the forecast track and that could actually mean more snow or less. Also, the intensity of the system could be different than what I am seeing now!

All for now!