Sunday, January 23, 2011

Potential Winter Storm Mid Week

Sending a quick outlook on the potential storm this Wednesday. The storm will be very marginal in temperature along I-95 which will make this a somewhat difficult forecast. There are many factors with this storm that make it not an Ideal (for snow lovers) track for a lot of snow.
 
1. No Real blocking up north to hold cold air.
2. Storm comes in to departing colder air - the Arctic blast is moving away
3. A more wound up storm will flood the area with warm air
4. A weaker storm may end up with a light snow event.
 
What I do believe:
1. I-81 corridor of VA will see snow.'
2. The immediate Piedmont of the mountains could see the most snow.
3. Areas about 30 miles east of the immediate Piedmont could be the location where snow to a mix and then back to snow will occur.. ironically the higher precip amounts could offset the amounts due to mixing.
4. East of I-95 will see rain with some mixing at the end of the event.
 
There is a lot of time to monitor. Areas up north of VA and NC will also see a lot of snow and Southern New England may again be in the heavy snow!
 
A lot to watch so please check back as we get closer. Planning on a map by tomorrow late.
 
All for now!
 
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Wednesday, January 19, 2011

Winter Weather Threat Thursday Night into Friday

There will be some winter weather in the forecast. Areas of the Northeast are likely to see the most snow, but some will come through Virginia and Maryland. Below are the 2 morning runs of the most popular models. Snow will likely fall North of the red line. (NAM top, GFS Bottom)


 
Based on the models a general 1 to 3 inches appears possible for the Northern VA and Maryland region with 3 - 5 inches for PA, DE, and NJ.If the NAM (Top Model) verifies, 4 to 8 inches would be possible further Northeast.. I will watch.

Early afternoon quick look at weather may occur if dramatic changes appear.

All for now!

Friday, December 24, 2010

Snow threat still minimal

There was bad data in the models this morning that tainted the output. I will keep watching. Not expecting much of anything north of Roanoke to Richmond to Wallops Island. Light snow below this. Eastern VA, Eastern NC, Interior SC and even GA could see the dusting to 2 inches in spots.

All for now!


NOON models shifting back to heavy snow Eastern areas!

Stay tuned! Updates later this afternoon!

OF Course noon models show possible significant snow again for parts of region!

Stay tuned! Updates later this afternoon!


Snow alert! Southern Half of VA, Most of NC, Interior SC, GA!

The storm system that was originally looking like a huge hit for the region will still output some snow for parts of the area. The southern 2/3rds of VA will likely see a period of snow with some accumulations possible. As of now I am thinking 1 to 2 inches with areas seeing 3 inches. SW VA in higher elevations may see 2 to 4". The far eastern part of NC and VA may also see some enhanced snow due to some energizing of the system as it hits the ocean.

Light Snow seems possible for SC and GA as well with some 1 to 2" totals!

Still a lot to watch as a lot of energy is trying to get itself together over the region. The outcome could be snow showers for the Northern Third of VA and MD.

NC may really see some 2 to 4" snows based on the energy. This is especially true for eastern NC.

All for now!

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